Henderson Silver Knights at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Henderson Silver Knights

5:1

Final

San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

HSKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

57%43%

xG: 3.63.3
High danger: 96
Chances: 1612
Shots: 3632

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SJ above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal32

16Scoring chances12

9High-danger chances6

3.62Expected goals3.28

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–15	7–7	4–3	1.3–1.6
2nd	12–2	4–0	2–0	1.0–0.1
3rd	10–15	5–5	3–3	1.3–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SJ	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov

Shots faced: 36
Saves: 31
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.62
GSAx: -1.38

Isaiah Saville

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 31
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.28
GSAx: +2.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:55Penalty
1st 5:11Adam Cracknell (1–0)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
1st 5:44Sheldon Rempal (2–0)medium · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
1st 8:44Penalty
1st 18:39Penalty
2nd 2:12Penalty
2nd 2:44Penalty
2nd 7:44Penalty
2nd 8:35Adam Cracknell (3–0)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
2nd 10:26Penalty
2nd 14:36Adam Cracknell (4–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
2nd 16:46Penalty
3rd 2:00Penalty
3rd 4:01Brandon Coe (4–1)low · 12 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
3rd 13:18Penalty
3rd 16:42Brendan Brisson (5–1)empty net · low · 46 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty