AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 13

Providence Bruins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Providence Bruins
2:3
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

PROHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
2.41.9
High danger
53
Chances
78
Shots
2623

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal23
7Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances3
2.41Expected goals1.86

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–60–30–10.2–0.5
2nd12–45–03–01.4–0.1
3rd6–122–42–10.6–0.9
OT2–10–10–10.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.41
GSAx
+0.41
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.86
GSAx
-1.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:59Ivan Miroshnichenko (0–1)medium · 35 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 5:49Penalty
  • 1st 12:10Penalty
  • 1st 18:30Penalty
  • 2nd 2:50Penalty
  • 2nd 5:08Penalty
  • 2nd 8:20Penalty
  • 2nd 8:20Penalty
  • 2nd 8:20Penalty
  • 2nd 17:12Joey Abate (1–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 18:25Penalty
  • 2nd 18:58Georgii Merkulov (2–1)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 6:03Penalty
  • 3rd 6:38Pierrick Dubé (2–2)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • OT 3:48Vincent Iorio (2–3)grade A · 33 ft · beat Brandon Bussi