Texas Stars at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Texas Stars

2:0

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

TEXGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

41%59%

xG: 1.82.2
High danger: 22
Chances: 59
Shots: 2626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal26

5Scoring chances9

2High-danger chances2

1.78Expected goals2.17

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–9	1–2	1–0	0.4–0.6
2nd	10–8	0–5	0–2	0.6–1.0
3rd	12–9	4–2	1–0	0.8–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 26
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.17
GSAx: +2.17

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 24
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.79
GSAx: -0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 14:36Penalty
2nd 3:07Penalty
2nd 7:33Penalty
2nd 8:24Penalty
2nd 8:58Matěj Blümel (1–0)low · snap · 33 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
3rd 1:43Penalty
3rd 2:27Penalty
3rd 19:00Scott Reedy (2–0)empty net · medium · 22 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson