AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 13

Rochester Americans at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Rochester Americans
3:4
Final / SO
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

ROCSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
1.83.3
High danger
22
Chances
811
Shots
2041

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal41
8Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances2
1.76Expected goals3.31

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–164–51–00.9–1.3
2nd9–133–51–10.7–1.2
3rd2–61–10–10.2–0.4
OT1–60–00–00.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
41
Saves
38
Allowed
3
xGA
3.31
GSAx
+0.31
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.76
GSAx
-1.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:47Jeremy Davies (1–0)medium · 28 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 2:37Damien Giroux (2–0)grade A · 10 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 19:46Adam Gaudette (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 10:15Dylan Coghlan (2–2)low · 48 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 2nd 17:10Penalty
  • 2nd 18:07Penalty
  • 2nd 18:25Will Bitten (2–3)high · 10 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 4:16Damien Giroux (3–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 3rd 6:51Penalty