AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, December 14

Belleville Senators at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Belleville Senators
1:5
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

BELCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.84.1
High danger
39
Chances
1313
Shots
3435

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal35
13Scoring chances13
3High-danger chances9
2.78Expected goals4.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–63–11–10.6–0.6
2nd12–155–50–41.1–1.6
3rd13–145–72–41.1–1.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL32:52 of the 3rd17:0817:08+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
4.08
GSAx
-0.92
Jet Greaves
Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
2.78
GSAx
+1.78

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:27Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Penalty
  • 1st 11:27Penalty
  • 1st 11:27Penalty
  • 2nd 1:23Penalty
  • 2nd 4:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 12:12Penalty
  • 2nd 17:30Penalty
  • 2nd 17:30James Malatesta (0–1)low · 36 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 18:53Marcus Björk (0–2)5v4 · medium · 9 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 2:52James Malatesta (0–3)high · 18 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 6:32Roman Ahcan (0–4)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 7:23Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Penalty
  • 3rd 9:35Corson Ceulemans (0–5)low · 47 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 10:37Penalty
  • 3rd 16:29Garrett Pilon (1–5)medium · 14 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty