AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 15

Belleville Senators at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Belleville Senators
1:2
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

BELCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
3.31.5
High danger
21
Chances
123
Shots
4027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal27
12Scoring chances3
2High-danger chances1
3.25Expected goals1.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–131–20–10.7–0.8
2nd15–95–10–01.2–0.5
3rd11–56–02–01.4–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
40
Saves
39
Allowed
1
xGA
3.25
GSAx
+2.25
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
1.55
GSAx
-0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:59Penalty
  • 1st 9:59Penalty
  • 2nd 2:23Justin Pearson (0–1)low · snap · 22 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 13:37Penalty
  • 3rd 3:50Penalty
  • 3rd 8:26Penalty
  • 3rd 9:13Penalty
  • 3rd 18:04Mikael Pyyhtiä (0–2)empty net · low · 117 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 19:05Angus Crookshank (1–2)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jet Greaves