AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 15

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:1
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

WBSUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
88%12%
xG
3.41.8
High danger
71
Chances
168
Shots
3222

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal22
16Scoring chances8
7High-danger chances1
3.36Expected goals1.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–46–12–01.2–0.2
2nd10–24–02–01.1–0.2
3rd9–166–73–11.1–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC32:20 of the 3rd17:4012:50+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.36
GSAx
-0.64
Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
22
Saves
21
Allowed
1
xGA
1.84
GSAx
+0.84

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:52Penalty
  • 1st 3:42Penalty
  • 1st 6:10Penalty
  • 1st 9:19Penalty
  • 1st 12:59Penalty
  • 2nd 4:44Will Butcher (1–0)low · 27 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 9:47Jack Rathbone (2–0)medium · 20 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 17:52Penalty
  • 3rd 1:24Penalty
  • 3rd 2:20Peter Abbandonato (3–0)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 3:28Penalty
  • 3rd 3:28Penalty
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 7:18Ryan Schmelzer (3–1)4v5 · medium · 31 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 15:58Penalty
  • 3rd 19:46Penalty
  • 3rd 19:46Colin White (4–1)empty net · low · 95 ft · beat Nico Daws