AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 15

Laval Rocket at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Laval Rocket
4:3
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

LAVLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
1.74.8
High danger
28
Chances
717
Shots
2445

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal45
7Scoring chances17
2High-danger chances8
1.72Expected goals4.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–111–20–00.4–0.7
2nd13–185–131–81.0–3.1
3rd4–161–21–00.3–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV118:53 of the 3rd1:071:07+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
4.75
GSAx
+1.75
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
1.72
GSAx
-2.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:29Penalty
  • 1st 3:06Samu Tuomaala (0–1)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 1st 5:21Penalty
  • 1st 16:39Penalty
  • 2nd 0:13Wade Allison (0–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 2:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:00Penalty
  • 2nd 5:22Penalty
  • 2nd 5:22Penalty
  • 2nd 5:22Penalty
  • 2nd 5:45Penalty
  • 2nd 8:28Penalty
  • 2nd 10:05Brandon Gignac (1–2)4v5 · high · backhand · 12 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 11:11Lucas Condotta (2–2)medium · snap · 23 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 15:43Penalty
  • 2nd 16:35Emil Andrae (2–3)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 17:16Penalty
  • 3rd 7:14Jan Myšák (3–3)high · 13 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 17:46Penalty
  • 3rd 18:53Riley Kidney (4–3)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Cal Petersen