AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 16

Laval Rocket at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Laval Rocket
1:7
Final
Hershey Bears

The sheet

LAVHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
7%93%
xG
1.24.3
High danger
113
Chances
618
Shots
1535

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

15Shots on goal35
6Scoring chances18
1High-danger chances13
1.24Expected goals4.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–143–60–40.4–1.5
2nd6–102–40–30.4–1.1
3rd4–111–81–60.4–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Strauss Mann
Shots faced
35
Saves
28
Allowed
7
xGA
4.35
GSAx
-2.65
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
15
Saves
14
Allowed
1
xGA
1.24
GSAx
+0.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:30Garrett Roe (0–1)high · 9 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 1st 6:12Garrett Roe (0–2)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 1st 18:02Penalty
  • 1st 19:16Ivan Miroshnichenko (0–3)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 2nd 8:14Riley Sutter (0–4)high · 8 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 2nd 15:37William Trudeau (1–4)low · 44 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 4:03Penalty
  • 3rd 7:08Penalty
  • 3rd 7:59Alex Limoges (1–5)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 3rd 13:15Penalty
  • 3rd 15:38Alex Limoges (1–6)high · 12 ft · beat Strauss Mann
  • 3rd 18:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Garrett Roe (1–7)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Strauss Mann