AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, December 17

Toronto Marlies at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Toronto Marlies
4:3
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

TORHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.63.4
High danger
25
Chances
813
Shots
2431

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances5
2.62Expected goals3.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–63–21–11.1–0.6
2nd8–152–50–40.5–1.7
3rd5–92–50–00.5–1.0
OT1–11–11–00.5–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Keith Petruzzelli
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.40
GSAx
+0.40
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-1.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:30Penalty
  • 1st 11:23Penalty
  • 1st 13:27Kieffer Bellows (1–0)grade A · 6 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 19:25Penalty
  • 2nd 5:29Nick Abruzzese (2–0)medium · 17 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 10:02Matt Rempe (2–1)high · 8 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 10:40Alex Belzile (2–2)high · 15 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 17:50Adam Edström (2–3)grade A · 9 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 3rd 5:11Zach Solow (3–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 6:42Penalty
  • 3rd 14:16Penalty
  • 3rd 16:01Penalty
  • OT 0:54Topi Niemelä (4–3)grade A · 14 ft · beat Dylan Garand