Ontario Reign at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Ontario Reign

0:6

Final

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

ONTABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

15%85%

xG: 2.64.5
High danger: 19
Chances: 617
Shots: 3442

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal42

6Scoring chances17

1High-danger chances9

2.64Expected goals4.53

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–15	1–1	1–0	0.6–1.0
2nd	13–18	3–10	0–7	1.0–2.4
3rd	13–9	2–6	0–2	1.0–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ONT	6	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 34
Saves: 34
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.64
GSAx: +2.64

Erik Portillo

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 22
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.71
GSAx: -1.29

Jacob Ingham

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 14
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.82
GSAx: -0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 11:52Penalty
1st 14:38Arshdeep Bains (0–1)low · 22 ft · beat Erik Portillo
1st 18:15Penalty
1st 18:51Penalty
2nd 1:41Nick Cicek (0–2)low · 22 ft · beat Erik Portillo
2nd 3:03Tristen Nielsen (0–3)high · 15 ft · beat Erik Portillo
2nd 4:58Penalty
2nd 6:03Linus Karlsson (0–4)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Erik Portillo
2nd 7:17John Stevens (0–5)high · 18 ft · beat Jacob Ingham
2nd 10:34Sheldon Dries (0–6)medium · 14 ft · beat Jacob Ingham
2nd 18:53Penalty
3rd 8:55Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 14:09Penalty
3rd 19:09Penalty
3rd 19:09Penalty
3rd 19:09Penalty
3rd 19:09Penalty