AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 22

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

XL Center · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
5:4
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.02.9
High danger
54
Chances
912
Shots
2234

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal34
9Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances4
2.97Expected goals2.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–125–32–01.7–0.7
2nd8–123–52–10.8–1.0
3rd4–101–41–30.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:42 of the 3rd7:187:01+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ken Appleby
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
2.92
GSAx
-1.08
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
2.97
GSAx
-2.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:06Penalty
  • 1st 3:16William Dufour (1–0)5v4 · low · 49 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 8:37Penalty
  • 1st 9:35Ruslan Iskhakov (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 11:43Penalty
  • 1st 11:43Penalty
  • 1st 12:50William Dufour (3–0)grade A · 7 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 14:24Penalty
  • 1st 16:42Penalty
  • 2nd 1:18Otto Koivula (4–0)high · 10 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 5:54Brandon Scanlin (4–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 2nd 6:30Penalty
  • 2nd 7:26Matthew Robertson (4–2)5v4 · medium · 46 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 2nd 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 19:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:08Penalty
  • 2nd 19:08Penalty
  • 3rd 0:06Alex Belzile (4–3)5v4 · grade A · 10 ft · beat Ken Appleby
  • 3rd 4:48Penalty
  • 3rd 10:21Penalty
  • 3rd 12:42Cole Bardreau (5–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 16:39Alex Belzile (5–4)low · 8 ft · beat Ken Appleby