AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 22

Hershey Bears at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Hershey Bears
4:3
Final / SO
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

HERSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
3.13.0
High danger
44
Chances
118
Shots
3537

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal37
11Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances4
3.11Expected goals3.02

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–84–12–11.3–0.5
2nd12–115–21–01.0–0.7
3rd7–152–41–30.8–1.5
OT1–30–10–00.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
37
Saves
34
Allowed
3
xGA
3.02
GSAx
+0.02
Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.11
GSAx
+0.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:28Pierrick Dubé (1–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 15:00Penalty
  • 1st 16:55Jimmy Huntington (2–0)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 0:11Ethen Frank (3–0)medium · 28 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 2:21Penalty
  • 2nd 13:54Joseph Duszak (3–1)low · 30 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 14:24Jakub Vrana (3–2)medium · 25 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 18:03Penalty
  • 3rd 1:15Penalty
  • 3rd 3:25Penalty
  • 3rd 8:52Zach Dean (3–3)low · 22 ft · beat Hunter Shepard