AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 22

Tucson Roadrunners at Bakersfield Condors

Mechanics Bank Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
4:3
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

TUCBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
3.42.9
High danger
74
Chances
1110
Shots
3133

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal33
11Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances4
3.37Expected goals2.87

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–105–02–01.0–0.6
2nd10–144–73–11.3–1.3
3rd10–91–31–30.5–1.0
OT1–01–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.87
GSAx
-0.13
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.37
GSAx
-0.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 1:01Dylan Guenther (1–0)high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 2:20Jayden Grubbe (1–1)medium · tip · 8 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 2nd 6:29Penalty
  • 2nd 10:03Penalty
  • 2nd 12:43Victor Söderström (2–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 28 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 13:13Penalty
  • 3rd 1:12Penalty
  • 3rd 2:28Xavier Bourgault (2–2)5v4 · high · backhand · 16 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 3rd 6:14Dylan Guenther (3–2)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 3rd 7:39Raphael Lavoie (3–3)high · wrist · 22 ft · beat Dylan Wells
  • 3rd 19:16Penalty
  • OT 0:38Josh Doan (4–3)5v4 · grade A · wrist · 14 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue