AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 23

Bakersfield Condors at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Bakersfield Condors
2:1
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

BAKCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.63.0
High danger
12
Chances
79
Shots
2038

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal38
7Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances2
1.57Expected goals3.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–161–30–10.3–1.2
2nd8–103–40–10.6–1.1
3rd6–122–21–00.5–0.6
OT1–01–00–00.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
37
Allowed
1
xGA
2.99
GSAx
+1.99
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.57
GSAx
-0.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:54Penalty
  • 2nd 1:05Alex Peters (1–0)low · 45 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 1:19Cameron Hughes (1–1)high · 10 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 2:50Penalty
  • 2nd 6:53Penalty
  • 2nd 14:30Penalty
  • 2nd 14:30Penalty
  • 2nd 15:51Penalty
  • 2nd 17:28Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • OT 0:32Seth Griffith (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Aleš Stezka