AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 29

Providence Bruins at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Providence Bruins
5:2
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

PROUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.03.3
High danger
85
Chances
1410
Shots
3539

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal39
14Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances5
4.03Expected goals3.27

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–93–12–11.4–0.6
2nd6–103–32–20.8–0.8
3rd16–208–64–21.9–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−3−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC32:32 of the 3rd17:2811:53+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
3.27
GSAx
+1.27
Akira Schmid
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
4.03
GSAx
-0.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:02Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Penalty
  • 1st 11:35Penalty
  • 1st 15:07Fabian Lysell (1–0)low · 34 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 1st 15:19Penalty
  • 1st 17:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 16:21Penalty
  • 2nd 16:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:21Jesper Boqvist (2–0)high · 20 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 2:32Vincent Arseneau (3–0)high · rebound · 16 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 4:45Penalty
  • 3rd 5:58Xavier Parent (3–1)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 11:33Fabian Lysell (4–1)high · 17 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 13:20Ryan Schmelzer (4–2)grade A · rebound · 23 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 18:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:03Jesper Boqvist (5–2)5v4 · medium · 31 ft · beat Akira Schmid
  • 3rd 19:25Penalty