AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 29

Syracuse Crunch at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Syracuse Crunch
2:3
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

SYRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
4.82.1
High danger
83
Chances
179
Shots
3820

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal20
17Scoring chances9
8High-danger chances3
4.79Expected goals2.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–54–23–01.1–0.4
2nd11–86–41–21.3–0.9
3rd18–77–34–12.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kasimir Kaskisuo
Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
4.79
GSAx
+2.79
Hugo Alnefelt
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.08
GSAx
-0.92

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:03Penalty
  • 1st 10:03Penalty
  • 1st 10:03Penalty
  • 1st 11:49Gabriel Fortier (1–0)5v4 · high · tip · 9 ft · beat Kasimir Kaskisuo
  • 1st 16:20Penalty
  • 1st 17:36Philippe Maillet (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 39 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 5:58Penalty
  • 2nd 9:35Penalty
  • 2nd 12:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:38Penalty
  • 2nd 12:38Penalty
  • 2nd 17:22Joshua Roy (1–2)high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 3rd 3:15Penalty
  • 3rd 5:44Penalty
  • 3rd 5:44Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Nathan Légaré (1–3)medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 3rd 8:56Penalty
  • 3rd 19:28Gage Goncalves (2–3)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Kasimir Kaskisuo