AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 29

Grand Rapids Griffins at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Grand Rapids Griffins
6:3
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

GRCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
3.12.7
High danger
76
Chances
146
Shots
3425

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal25
14Scoring chances6
7High-danger chances6
3.12Expected goals2.72

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–54–02–01.0–0.2
2nd11–116–32–31.2–1.3
3rd9–94–33–30.9–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Adam Scheel
Shots faced
34
Saves
28
Allowed
6
xGA
3.12
GSAx
-2.88
Michael Hutchinson
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.72
GSAx
-0.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:14Penalty
  • 1st 14:11Penalty
  • 1st 19:40Marco Kasper (1–0)high · 11 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 4:14Carter Mazur (2–0)high · 5 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 5:49Penalty
  • 2nd 7:40Antti Tuomisto (3–0)5v4 · low · 33 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 2nd 9:41Penalty
  • 2nd 11:57Penalty
  • 2nd 13:04Vasily Ponomarev (3–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Joel L’Esperance (4–1)medium · 31 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 4:35Cross Hanas (5–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 9:10Penalty
  • 3rd 10:14Chris Terry (5–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 3rd 12:11Penalty
  • 3rd 13:37Rocco Grimaldi (5–3)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 3rd 13:55Penalty
  • 3rd 17:07Dominik Shine (6–3)empty net · low · 78 ft · beat Adam Scheel
  • 3rd 17:54Penalty