Abbotsford Canucks at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Abbotsford Canucks

0:5

Final

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

ABBCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

10%90%

xG: 2.65.8
High danger: 110
Chances: 824
Shots: 3746

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal46

8Scoring chances24

1High-danger chances10

2.61Expected goals5.84

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–17	2–8	0–2	0.7–1.8
2nd	13–18	2–10	1–5	1.0–2.6
3rd	15–11	4–6	0–3	0.9–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs

Shots faced: 46
Saves: 41
Allowed: 5
xGA: 5.84
GSAx: +0.84

Dustin Wolf

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 37
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: +2.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:12Penalty
1st 4:12Penalty
1st 6:59Mitch McLain (0–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 13 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 14:01Matt Coronato (0–2)medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
1st 15:04Penalty
1st 19:58Penalty
2nd 3:44Adam Klapka (0–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
2nd 10:15Penalty
2nd 11:28Penalty
3rd 7:49Penalty
3rd 8:51Clark Bishop (0–4)empty net · high · 12 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
3rd 15:52Matt Coronato (0–5)medium · wrist · 3 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs