AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 30

Belleville Senators at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Belleville Senators
3:2
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

BELTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.83.8
High danger
27
Chances
914
Shots
3235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal35
9Scoring chances14
2High-danger chances7
2.79Expected goals3.77

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–103–50–40.6–1.3
2nd10–112–41–00.9–0.9
3rd13–103–51–31.0–1.2
OT2–41–00–00.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
3.77
GSAx
+1.77
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:32Penalty
  • 1st 3:17Penalty
  • 1st 3:17Penalty
  • 1st 3:17Penalty
  • 1st 4:02Joseph Blandisi (0–1)5v4 · grade A · 9 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 1st 12:15Zach Solow (0–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 14:19Penalty
  • 3rd 1:20Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Roby Järventie (1–2)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 7:24Penalty
  • 3rd 11:59Egor Sokolov (2–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • OT 4:20Cole Reinhardt (3–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby