Cleveland Monsters at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Cleveland Monsters

1:5

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLEGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

11%89%

xG: 1.73.6
High danger: 17
Chances: 512
Shots: 2737

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal37

5Scoring chances12

1High-danger chances7

1.70Expected goals3.59

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–17	3–5	1–2	1.0–1.6
2nd	8–9	1–3	0–2	0.4–0.8
3rd	8–11	1–4	0–3	0.3–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Pavel Cajan

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 32
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.59
GSAx: -1.41

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.70
GSAx: +0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:01Joel L’Esperance (0–1)low · 17 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
1st 12:54Penalty
1st 18:57Penalty
2nd 1:47Carter Mazur (0–2)high · 21 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
2nd 9:50Albert Johansson (0–3)low · wrist · 54 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
2nd 13:57Albert Johansson (0–4)low · 45 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
2nd 14:46Penalty
2nd 14:46Penalty
3rd 8:19Zach Aston-Reese (0–5)low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Pavel Cajan
3rd 9:47Penalty
3rd 11:22Penalty
3rd 12:45Mikael Pyyhtiä (1–5)5v4 · low · slap · 44 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
3rd 17:36Penalty