AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 3

San Diego Gulls at Henderson Silver Knights

The Dollar Loan Center · Henderson, NV

San Diego Gulls
3:6
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SDHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
3.83.4
High danger
87
Chances
1515
Shots
3433

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal33
15Scoring chances15
8High-danger chances7
3.84Expected goals3.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–127–44–11.6–1.0
2nd13–124–82–41.3–1.6
3rd11–94–32–20.9–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.84
GSAx
+0.84
Alex Stalock
Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
3.36
GSAx
-2.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:09Penalty
  • 1st 2:04Chase De Leo (1–0)5v4 · medium · wrist · 38 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 3:17Penalty
  • 1st 14:55Penalty
  • 1st 16:49Sheldon Rempal (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:51Adam Cracknell (1–2)medium · slap · 8 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 2nd 9:09Penalty
  • 2nd 11:34Brayden Tracey (2–2)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 12:42Brendan Brisson (2–3)high · snap · 22 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 2nd 18:04Penalty
  • 3rd 2:57Jaxsen Wiebe (3–3)medium · slap · 10 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 6:54Penalty
  • 3rd 7:01Grigori Denisenko (3–4)5v4 · medium · snap · 41 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 3rd 9:55Penalty
  • 3rd 11:21Gage Quinney (3–5)5v4 · high · tip · 5 ft · beat Alex Stalock
  • 3rd 15:24Penalty
  • 3rd 18:17Mason Primeau (3–6)empty net · low · wrist · 49 ft · beat Alex Stalock