Grand Rapids Griffins at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Grand Rapids Griffins

4:1

Final

Iowa Wild

The sheet

GRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

59%41%

xG: 3.32.9
High danger: 96
Chances: 1213
Shots: 2329

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

IA above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal29

12Scoring chances13

9High-danger chances6

3.26Expected goals2.90

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–6	6–2	4–0	1.2–0.4
2nd	9–11	4–6	3–3	1.0–1.2
3rd	5–12	2–5	2–3	1.0–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	2	12:08 of the 3rd	7:52	7:52	+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 28
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.90
GSAx: +1.90

Jesper Wallstedt

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 19
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.26
GSAx: -0.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 10:02Penalty
1st 17:50Penalty
1st 17:58Tim Gettinger (1–0)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
1st 19:21Antti Tuomisto (2–0)low · 49 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 5:57Penalty
2nd 11:41Louis Boudon (2–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 13:21Penalty
2nd 13:21Penalty
2nd 14:42Penalty
3rd 4:40Penalty
3rd 8:52Penalty
3rd 10:40Joel L’Esperance (3–1)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
3rd 14:11Dominik Shine (4–1)grade A · 194 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt