AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 6

Charlotte Checkers at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Charlotte Checkers
4:3
Final / OT
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

CLTBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
91%9%
xG
4.61.8
High danger
81
Chances
137
Shots
3625

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal25
13Scoring chances7
8High-danger chances1
4.62Expected goals1.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–73–11–00.8–0.5
2nd11–113–42–01.1–0.8
3rd11–64–23–11.7–0.5
OT3–13–02–01.0–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT117:12 of the 3rd2:482:46+0.053 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
4.62
GSAx
+0.62
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-1.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:55Penalty
  • 1st 3:30Zac Dalpe (1–0)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 9:44Penalty
  • 2nd 5:09Otto Koivula (1–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 6:33Penalty
  • 2nd 9:26Jake Wise (2–1)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 11:09Penalty
  • 2nd 11:17Penalty
  • 2nd 13:41Penalty
  • 3rd 8:49Karson Kuhlman (2–2)high · 13 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 17:12Robin Salo (2–3)low · 53 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:58Gerry Mayhew (3–3)grade A · 14 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • OT 0:44Penalty
  • OT 0:44Penalty
  • OT 3:33Penalty
  • OT 3:33Penalty
  • OT 3:33Gerry Mayhew (4–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Jakub Skarek