Grand Rapids Griffins at Iowa Wild

Wells Fargo Arena · Des Moines, IA

Grand Rapids Griffins

4:1

Final

Iowa Wild

The sheet

GRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

78%22%

xG: 2.72.1
High danger: 71
Chances: 86
Shots: 2930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

IA above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal30

8Scoring chances6

7High-danger chances1

2.67Expected goals2.13

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–12	2–2	2–0	0.8–0.8
2nd	14–8	4–3	3–0	1.2–0.7
3rd	8–10	2–1	2–1	0.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	2	12:08 of the 3rd	7:52	7:52	+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael Hutchinson

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.13
GSAx: +1.13

Jesper Wallstedt

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 25
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.67
GSAx: -1.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:25Jonatan Berggren (1–0)low · 22 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
1st 9:07Penalty
1st 14:35Penalty
2nd 5:10Penalty
2nd 5:17Joel L’Esperance (2–0)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 8:51Carter Mazur (3–0)high · rebound · 7 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
2nd 10:06Penalty
2nd 13:57Sammy Walker (3–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
2nd 15:02Penalty
3rd 14:59Penalty
3rd 15:10Josiah Didier (4–1)empty net · low · 167 ft · beat Jesper Wallstedt
3rd 18:50Penalty