AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 6

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
4:3
Final / SO
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
71%29%
xG
4.52.7
High danger
65
Chances
1310
Shots
3933

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal33
13Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances5
4.50Expected goals2.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–101–60–30.6–1.2
2nd14–98–24–02.5–0.5
3rd10–84–22–21.0–0.7
OT4–60–00–00.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Malcolm Subban
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
4.50
GSAx
+1.50
Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:22Penalty
  • 1st 3:22Penalty
  • 1st 13:55Adam Gaudette (0–1)medium · 26 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 1st 18:16Adam Gaudette (0–2)high · 11 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 2:02Penalty
  • 2nd 3:37Penalty
  • 2nd 5:11Fabian Lysell (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 7:48Brett Harrison (2–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 8:25Anthony Richard (3–2)high · 14 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 11:05Penalty
  • 3rd 3:09Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Keean Washkurak (3–3)low · 51 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 12:37Penalty
  • OT 4:54Penalty