Henderson Silver Knights at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Henderson Silver Knights

0:1

Final / SO

Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

HSKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

33%67%

xG: 2.62.6
High danger: 45
Chances: 78
Shots: 3532

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

CGY above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal32

7Scoring chances8

4High-danger chances5

2.61Expected goals2.60

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–6	1–3	1–2	0.5–0.6
2nd	15–16	4–4	2–3	1.4–1.4
3rd	9–8	2–1	1–0	0.6–0.5
OT	2–2	0–0	0–0	0.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

In goal

Dustin Wolf

Shots faced: 35
Saves: 35
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: +2.61

Jesper Vikman

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 32
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.60
GSAx: +2.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:57Penalty
1st 3:57Penalty
1st 8:22Penalty
1st 9:18Penalty
2nd 5:12Penalty
2nd 8:21Penalty
2nd 9:09Penalty
2nd 14:14Penalty
2nd 15:29Penalty
2nd 15:38Penalty
3rd 3:44Penalty
3rd 16:38Penalty
3rd 16:38Penalty