AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 7

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:3
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

LVHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
1.52.8
High danger
13
Chances
510
Shots
2429

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal29
5Scoring chances10
1High-danger chances3
1.54Expected goals2.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–81–31–10.3–1.0
2nd9–102–40–10.6–1.0
3rd8–102–30–10.4–0.7
OT2–10–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-0.18
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:40Penalty
  • 1st 16:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:37Penalty
  • 2nd 4:15Bogdan Trineyev (0–1)low · 21 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 6:05Penalty
  • 2nd 13:38Penalty
  • 2nd 15:45Jordy Bellerive (1–1)low · 41 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
  • 2nd 17:34Adam Brooks (2–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
  • 3rd 1:21Penalty
  • 3rd 10:41Penalty
  • 3rd 14:40Mike Sgarbossa (2–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • OT 2:04Alex Limoges (2–3)low · 11 ft · beat Cal Petersen