AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 7

Hartford Wolf Pack at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
1:2
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

HFDWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.62.0
High danger
13
Chances
47
Shots
2127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal27
4Scoring chances7
1High-danger chances3
1.57Expected goals2.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–91–10–10.4–0.6
2nd3–131–40–00.2–0.8
3rd13–52–21–21.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.03
GSAx
+0.03
Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
1.58
GSAx
+0.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:27Sam Poulin (0–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 8:33Penalty
  • 1st 15:58Penalty
  • 1st 17:50Penalty
  • 2nd 11:36Penalty
  • 2nd 11:44Jonathan Gruden (0–2)4v5 · low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 13:49Penalty
  • 2nd 19:21Penalty
  • 3rd 2:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Brandon Scanlin (1–2)low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 9:36Penalty
  • 3rd 9:36Penalty