AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 7

Syracuse Crunch at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Syracuse Crunch
4:3
Final / OT
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

SYRTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
1.82.6
High danger
43
Chances
69
Shots
2127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal27
6Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
1.82Expected goals2.59

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–123–33–00.8–0.9
2nd2–61–20–10.2–0.5
3rd12–92–41–20.8–1.2
OT1–00–00–00.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Hugo Alnefelt
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-0.41
Luke Cavallin
Shots faced
21
Saves
17
Allowed
4
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-2.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:48Waltteri Merelä (1–0)high · 22 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 1st 8:21Maxim Groshev (2–0)low · 36 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 1st 10:11Penalty
  • 1st 13:10Penalty
  • 1st 14:52Penalty
  • 1st 19:20Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 11:01Kieffer Bellows (2–1)low · 51 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 15:32Penalty
  • 2nd 15:32Penalty
  • 2nd 17:33Kieffer Bellows (2–2)high · 8 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • 2nd 17:40Penalty
  • 2nd 19:26Penalty
  • 3rd 8:41Penalty
  • 3rd 8:50Joe Carroll (3–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Luke Cavallin
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Alex Steeves (3–3)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Hugo Alnefelt
  • OT 2:49Joe Carroll (4–3)low · 17 ft · beat Luke Cavallin