AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 7

Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
6:5
Final / SO
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
4.74.2
High danger
99
Chances
1716
Shots
4035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal35
17Scoring chances16
9High-danger chances9
4.71Expected goals4.25

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–94–53–41.2–1.2
2nd15–156–83–51.4–2.1
3rd10–76–32–01.5–0.6
OT4–41–01–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:041:10+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cale Morris
Shots faced
40
Saves
35
Allowed
5
xGA
4.71
GSAx
-0.29
Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
4.25
GSAx
-0.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:22Penalty
  • 1st 4:32Max McCormick (0–1)4v5 · high · 8 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 5:25Max Sasson (1–1)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Cale Morris
  • 1st 9:18Penalty
  • 1st 15:26Penalty
  • 1st 19:42Vasily Podkolzin (2–1)medium · 21 ft · beat Cale Morris
  • 2nd 6:42Arshdeep Bains (3–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Cale Morris
  • 2nd 7:23Logan Morrison (3–2)high · 13 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 8:45Penalty
  • 2nd 9:38Arshdeep Bains (4–2)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Cale Morris
  • 2nd 10:40Connor Carrick (4–3)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 11:40Penalty
  • 2nd 12:17Penalty
  • 2nd 12:52Penalty
  • 2nd 14:17Shane Wright (4–4)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 2nd 17:38Penalty
  • 3rd 4:37Shane Wright (4–5)medium · 16 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 18:06Vasily Podkolzin (5–5)grade A · 163 ft · beat Cale Morris
  • 3rd 18:52Penalty
  • 3rd 19:51Penalty