AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 10

Springfield Thunderbirds at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
4:3
Final / OT
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SPRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.43.1
High danger
45
Chances
710
Shots
2634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal34
7Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances5
2.37Expected goals3.12

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–71–10–00.5–0.5
2nd7–184–74–31.1–1.9
3rd8–82–20–20.6–0.6
OT1–10–00–00.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.12
GSAx
+0.12
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.36
GSAx
-1.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:09Jeff Kubiak (0–1)low · 50 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 5:30Jeff Kubiak (0–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 1st 6:29Nikita Alexandrov (1–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 12:40Penalty
  • 1st 18:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:23Penalty
  • 2nd 12:21Penalty
  • 2nd 12:34William Dufour (1–3)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Malcolm Subban
  • 2nd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 9:26Mikhail Abramov (2–3)low · 19 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 10:44Mackenzie MacEachern (3–3)medium · 17 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • OT 1:11Calle Rosén (4–3)low · 16 ft · beat Jakub Skarek