Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets

6:5

Final / OT

Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

77%23%

xG: 4.62.7
High danger: 113
Chances: 1710
Shots: 3729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal29

17Scoring chances10

11High-danger chances3

4.58Expected goals2.66

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–7	6–3	3–0	1.3–0.6
2nd	13–9	6–3	5–1	1.8–0.7
3rd	10–13	4–4	3–2	1.1–1.3
OT	3–0	1–0	0–0	0.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	1	17:28 of the 3rd	2:32	0:52	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 31
Allowed: 6
xGA: 4.58
GSAx: -1.42

Isaac Poulter

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.66
GSAx: -2.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:06Penalty
1st 9:16Justin Dowling (1–0)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
1st 12:56Penalty
1st 17:16Joshua Roy (1–1)medium · 15 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
2nd 3:42Penalty
2nd 3:42Penalty
2nd 6:15Penalty
2nd 7:13Justin Dowling (2–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 8 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
2nd 8:04Joshua Roy (2–2)medium · wrist · 12 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
2nd 9:23Penalty
2nd 13:54Tobie Bisson (2–3)low · snap · 20 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
2nd 14:34Kyle Criscuolo (3–3)medium · backhand · 11 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
2nd 17:53Penalty
2nd 19:33Brian Halonen (4–3)5v4 · high · wrist · 15 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
3rd 5:06Penalty
3rd 6:27Philippe Maillet (4–4)5v4 · medium · backhand · 12 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
3rd 17:28Brian Halonen (5–4)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
3rd 18:20Lias Andersson (5–5)grade A · 10 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
OT 4:39Joe Gambardella (6–5)medium · wrist · 15 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš