AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 12

Rochester Americans at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Rochester Americans
3:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

ROCCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
45%55%
xG
2.23.0
High danger
42
Chances
811
Shots
2339

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances2
2.17Expected goals2.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–94–21–01.0–0.6
2nd6–133–32–10.7–1.0
3rd6–171–61–10.5–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT116:57 of the 3rd3:033:03+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devin Cooley
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
2.98
GSAx
+0.98
Spencer Knight
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-0.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:55Gerry Mayhew (0–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 1st 10:16Penalty
  • 1st 12:25Kale Clague (1–1)medium · 19 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 1st 15:20Penalty
  • 1st 19:41Penalty
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Penalty
  • 2nd 19:18Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Jake Wise (1–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Devin Cooley
  • 3rd 4:31Justin Richards (2–2)low · 37 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 3rd 6:12Penalty
  • 3rd 16:57Joseph Cecconi (3–2)low · 45 ft · beat Spencer Knight