AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 12

Manitoba Moose at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Manitoba Moose
2:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

MBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
3.23.3
High danger
33
Chances
1215
Shots
3236

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal36
12Scoring chances15
3High-danger chances3
3.20Expected goals3.33

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–133–31–11.1–1.0
2nd9–156–101–21.2–1.8
3rd11–83–21–00.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Oskari Salminen
Shots faced
36
Saves
31
Allowed
5
xGA
3.33
GSAx
-1.67
Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
3.20
GSAx
+1.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:08Logan Mailloux (0–1)low · 59 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 1st 5:01Penalty
  • 1st 5:16Jan Myšák (0–2)low · wrist · 61 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 1st 7:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:21Penalty
  • 1st 16:41Emil Heineman (0–3)5v4 · low · slap · 54 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 1st 19:13Penalty
  • 2nd 1:53Penalty
  • 2nd 5:12Penalty
  • 2nd 11:01Penalty
  • 2nd 12:36C.J. Suess (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 12:44Penalty
  • 2nd 17:02Penalty
  • 2nd 17:24Brad Lambert (2–3)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 17:44Lias Andersson (2–4)high · 12 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 2nd 18:06Penalty
  • 2nd 18:06Penalty
  • 3rd 9:47Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 13:45Philippe Maillet (2–5)low · 48 ft · beat Oskari Salminen
  • 3rd 14:33Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty