AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 13

Springfield Thunderbirds at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Springfield Thunderbirds
3:6
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

SPRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.62.9
High danger
35
Chances
610
Shots
2826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal26
6Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances5
2.58Expected goals2.86

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–92–42–10.9–0.8
2nd8–132–41–20.8–1.5
3rd11–42–20–20.9–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Isaac Poulter
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.58
GSAx
-0.42
Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
26
Saves
20
Allowed
6
xGA
2.86
GSAx
-3.14

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:49Nikita Alexandrov (1–0)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 1st 9:50Filip Engaras (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 17:51Michael Vukojevic (1–2)low · 41 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:29Arnaud Durandeau (1–3)medium · 10 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 1:21Chase Stillman (1–4)grade A · 44 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 1:39Penalty
  • 2nd 5:32Penalty
  • 2nd 6:26Penalty
  • 2nd 9:25Zachary Bolduc (2–4)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 2nd 13:10Penalty
  • 2nd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 7:13Nikita Alexandrov (3–4)medium · 23 ft · beat Isaac Poulter
  • 3rd 10:02Graeme Clarke (3–5)low · 33 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:06Justin Dowling (3–6)empty net · high · 9 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko