Milwaukee Admirals at Henderson Silver Knights

The Dollar Loan Center · Henderson, NV

Milwaukee Admirals

7:0

Final

Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

MILHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

92%8%

xG: 4.21.4
High danger: 92
Chances: 143
Shots: 2824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HSK above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal24

14Scoring chances3

9High-danger chances2

4.16Expected goals1.36

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–13	5–3	2–2	1.1–0.8
2nd	11–3	4–0	2–0	1.0–0.2
3rd	8–8	5–0	5–0	2.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	5	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.004 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Troy Grosenick

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 24
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.36
GSAx: +1.36

Jesper Vikman

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 14
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.71
GSAx: -2.29

Jordan Papirny

Shots faced: 10
Saves: 7
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.44
GSAx: -0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:48Jasper Weatherby (1–0)medium · tip · 19 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
1st 9:30Penalty
1st 11:35Zach L’Heureux (2–0)medium · backhand · 9 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
1st 16:05Penalty
1st 19:25Penalty
2nd 9:38Jordan Gross (3–0)medium · wrist · 14 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
2nd 14:23Mark Jankowski (4–0)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
2nd 17:26Egor Afanasyev (5–0)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
2nd 17:48Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 4:25Jasper Weatherby (6–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jordan Papirny
3rd 8:26Penalty
3rd 13:44Penalty
3rd 14:29Mark Jankowski (7–0)4v5 · high · tip · 11 ft · beat Jordan Papirny