Hershey Bears at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hershey Bears

1:2

Final / SO

Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HERBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

82%18%

xG: 2.41.5
High danger: 21
Chances: 62
Shots: 3325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

BRI above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal25

6Scoring chances2

2High-danger chances1

2.36Expected goals1.49

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–8	2–1	0–0	0.7–0.5
2nd	10–5	1–0	0–0	0.5–0.2
3rd	11–10	3–1	2–1	1.0–0.6
OT	3–2	0–0	0–0	0.1–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 32
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.36
GSAx: +1.36

Clay Stevenson

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 24
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.49
GSAx: +0.49

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 13:42Penalty
1st 17:19Penalty
2nd 19:41Penalty
3rd 4:09Penalty
3rd 7:11Ruslan Iskhakov (0–1)low · 35 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
3rd 16:24Chase Priskie (1–1)low · 58 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen