AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 17

San Jose Barracuda at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

San Jose Barracuda
1:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SJCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
3.53.1
High danger
65
Chances
149
Shots
3434

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal34
14Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances5
3.46Expected goals3.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–148–43–31.5–1.3
2nd11–104–22–11.2–0.9
3rd11–102–31–10.8–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
3.11
GSAx
-0.89
Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
3.46
GSAx
+2.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:54Penalty
  • 1st 14:00Penalty
  • 1st 16:40Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Patrick Giles (0–1)low · 45 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 5:00Santtu Kinnunen (0–2)low · 47 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 9:33Jack Studnicka (1–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Spencer Knight
  • 2nd 15:44Penalty
  • 3rd 17:10Wilmer Skoog (1–3)grade A · 16 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 3rd 19:01Lucas Carlsson (1–4)empty net · low · 84 ft · beat Magnus Chrona