AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 17

Henderson Silver Knights at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
6:4
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

HSKCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
2.74.6
High danger
38
Chances
1022
Shots
3143

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal43
10Scoring chances22
3High-danger chances8
2.73Expected goals4.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–132–51–30.8–1.3
2nd12–114–52–01.3–1.0
3rd7–194–120–50.7–2.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV37:04 of the 3rd12:5610:31+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
43
Saves
39
Allowed
4
xGA
4.61
GSAx
+0.61
Aleš Stezka
Shots faced
31
Saves
25
Allowed
6
xGA
2.73
GSAx
-3.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:44Sheldon Rempal (1–0)medium · 10 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 1st 9:06Penalty
  • 1st 16:25Penalty
  • 2nd 0:54Jakub Demek (2–0)medium · 11 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 2:51Sheldon Rempal (3–0)grade A · 17 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 2nd 8:43Penalty
  • 2nd 8:43Penalty
  • 2nd 8:43Penalty
  • 2nd 13:44Mitch Reinke (3–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 18:02Cameron Hughes (3–2)low · 22 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 1:57Penalty
  • 3rd 3:12Gage Quinney (4–2)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Sheldon Rempal (5–2)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Aleš Stezka
  • 3rd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 11:05Andrew Poturalski (5–3)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 14:21Penalty
  • 3rd 15:34Kole Lind (5–4)5v4 · high · rebound · 25 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 17:14Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Sheldon Rempal (6–4)empty net · low · 142 ft · beat Aleš Stezka