AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 19

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
2:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.73.6
High danger
46
Chances
1214
Shots
3035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal35
12Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances6
2.71Expected goals3.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–91–31–10.2–0.7
2nd16–186–81–41.3–2.1
3rd11–85–32–11.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.56
GSAx
-1.44
Jakub Dobeš
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.71
GSAx
+0.71

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:43Penalty
  • 1st 17:11Lucas Condotta (0–1)low · 58 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 4:37Penalty
  • 2nd 5:30Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Tyler Kleven (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 7:02Philippe Maillet (1–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 19 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 8:10Jan Myšák (1–3)grade A · backhand · 17 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 9:48Penalty
  • 2nd 10:22Jacob Larsson (2–3)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35Penalty
  • 2nd 19:03Penalty
  • 2nd 19:03Penalty
  • 2nd 19:03Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Jan Myšák (2–4)low · 19 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 4:53Penalty
  • 3rd 4:53Penalty
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 5:26Penalty
  • 3rd 7:13Penalty
  • 3rd 11:23Penalty
  • 3rd 13:18Penalty
  • 3rd 14:10Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 18:56Brandon Gignac (2–5)empty net · high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen