AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 19

Grand Rapids Griffins at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Grand Rapids Griffins
5:4
Final / OT
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

GRMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
2.62.3
High danger
43
Chances
99
Shots
1924

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal24
9Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
2.58Expected goals2.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–83–52–31.1–1.0
2nd7–53–10–00.6–0.4
3rd3–112–31–00.4–0.9
OT1–01–01–00.5–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:041:23+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
2.32
GSAx
-1.68
Collin Delia
Shots faced
19
Saves
14
Allowed
5
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-2.41

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:46Penalty
  • 1st 7:35Elmer Söderblom (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 1st 8:35Thomas Caron (1–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 12:03Penalty
  • 1st 12:21Nikita Chibrikov (1–2)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 12:37Penalty
  • 1st 17:15C.J. Suess (1–3)high · 7 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 6:27Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Jeff Malott (1–4)medium · 19 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 15:40Brogan Rafferty (2–4)low · 19 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 1:49Dominik Shine (3–4)low · 57 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • 3rd 10:48Penalty
  • 3rd 11:47Penalty
  • 3rd 14:36Penalty
  • 3rd 17:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:19Jonatan Berggren (4–4)5v4 · high · 40 ft · beat Collin Delia
  • OT 0:48Marco Kasper (5–4)grade A · 18 ft · beat Collin Delia