AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 20

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
5:6
Final / OT
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
3.03.5
High danger
79
Chances
1515
Shots
2423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal23
15Scoring chances15
7High-danger chances9
3.04Expected goals3.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–95–72–51.0–1.3
2nd9–96–43–11.1–0.9
3rd6–44–32–20.8–0.5
OT1–10–10–10.1–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ116:56 of the 3rd3:041:39+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Magnus Chrona
Shots faced
18
Saves
15
Allowed
3
xGA
2.27
GSAx
-0.73
Trent Miner
Shots faced
14
Saves
11
Allowed
3
xGA
1.80
GSAx
-1.20
Arvid Holm
Shots faced
10
Saves
8
Allowed
2
xGA
1.25
GSAx
-0.75
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
5
Saves
2
Allowed
3
xGA
1.24
GSAx
-1.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:27Danil Gushchin (1–0)low · 64 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 5:58Matthew Stienburg (1–1)high · 7 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 12:14Penalty
  • 1st 13:32Ivan Ivan (1–2)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 1st 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 4:05Brad Hunt (1–3)low · 39 ft · beat Magnus Chrona
  • 2nd 6:03Penalty
  • 2nd 8:27Tristen Robins (2–3)low · 59 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 10:21Oskar Lindblom (3–3)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 11:01Valtteri Pulli (4–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • 2nd 12:50Penalty
  • 2nd 15:08Penalty
  • 3rd 6:24Penalty
  • 3rd 6:27Brad Hunt (4–4)5v4 · high · 29 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 7:46Ben Meyers (4–5)medium · 26 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 10:01Penalty
  • 3rd 16:19Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Valtteri Pulli (5–5)high · 13 ft · beat Arvid Holm
  • OT 1:29Oskar Olausson (5–6)grade A · 13 ft · beat Georgii Romanov