AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 21

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
4:6
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
3.53.4
High danger
66
Chances
1515
Shots
3331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal31
15Scoring chances15
6High-danger chances6
3.52Expected goals3.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–154–81–30.7–2.0
2nd12–125–53–21.5–1.0
3rd12–46–22–11.3–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:08 of the 3rd7:527:52+0.028 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Justus Annunen
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.52
GSAx
-0.48
Eetu Makiniemi
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.29
GSAx
-1.71
Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
1
Saves
0
Allowed
1
xGA
0.10
GSAx
-0.90

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:06Ethan Cardwell (1–0)medium · 23 ft · beat Justus Annunen
  • 1st 1:45Jason Polin (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 2:13Ben Meyers (1–2)low · 35 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 1st 6:49Penalty
  • 1st 7:53Ivan Ivan (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 1st 10:57Penalty
  • 2nd 2:37Tanner Kaspick (2–3)high · 7 ft · beat Justus Annunen
  • 2nd 2:52Penalty
  • 2nd 11:10Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Kyle Rau (3–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Justus Annunen
  • 2nd 14:58Oskar Olausson (3–4)low · 32 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 6:47Riley Tufte (3–5)high · rebound · 36 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 3rd 7:22Penalty
  • 3rd 9:49Penalty
  • 3rd 9:49Penalty
  • 3rd 14:05Penalty
  • 3rd 16:38Spencer Smallman (3–6)empty net · low · 161 ft · beat Eetu Makiniemi
  • 3rd 18:34Bradley Marek (4–6)low · 36 ft · beat Justus Annunen
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Penalty