AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 24

Toronto Marlies at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Toronto Marlies
5:7
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

TORCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
4.52.0
High danger
82
Chances
199
Shots
3819

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal19
19Scoring chances9
8High-danger chances2
4.51Expected goals2.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–115–52–11.3–1.2
2nd14–38–23–11.8–0.4
3rd13–56–23–01.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR117:17 of the 3rd2:432:43+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
4.51
GSAx
-0.49
Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
19
Saves
12
Allowed
7
xGA
2.01
GSAx
-4.99

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:31Penalty
  • 1st 10:57Jake Christiansen (0–1)medium · 29 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 1st 14:13Tyler Angle (0–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 1st 19:36Penalty
  • 2nd 3:36Penalty
  • 2nd 4:19Penalty
  • 2nd 4:41Alex Steeves (1–2)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 9:32Kyle Clifford (2–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 2nd 12:30Penalty
  • 2nd 15:32Tyler Angle (2–3)medium · 24 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 3rd 2:41Penalty
  • 3rd 5:10Joseph Blandisi (3–3)high · 15 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 6:51Cole Clayton (3–4)low · 44 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 7:31Kyle Clifford (4–4)high · 10 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 11:03Owen Sillinger (4–5)medium · 12 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 15:59Max Lajoie (5–5)low · 29 ft · beat Jet Greaves
  • 3rd 17:17Owen Sillinger (5–6)medium · 16 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 19:37Jake Christiansen (5–7)empty net · low · 31 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby