Utica Comets at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Utica Comets

2:5

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

UTCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

40%60%

xG: 2.93.1
High danger: 45
Chances: 1111
Shots: 2933

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal33

11Scoring chances11

4High-danger chances5

2.90Expected goals3.15

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	14–7	10–1	4–1	2.0–0.6
2nd	6–14	0–7	0–2	0.3–1.5
3rd	9–12	1–3	0–2	0.5–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	2	14:54 of the 3rd	5:06	5:06	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Akira Schmid

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 28
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.15
GSAx: -1.85

Jakub Dobeš

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.91
GSAx: +0.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:24Penalty
1st 11:26William Trudeau (0–1)grade A · wrist · 26 ft · beat Akira Schmid
1st 14:39Penalty
1st 16:35Penalty
1st 17:39Penalty
1st 19:59Brian Halonen (1–1)5v4 · high · snap · rebound · 20 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
2nd 9:04Brian Halonen (2–1)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Jakub Dobeš
2nd 9:24Penalty
3rd 5:23Penalty
3rd 8:09Gabriel Bourque (2–2)low · wrist · 27 ft · beat Akira Schmid
3rd 14:44Mitchell Stephens (2–3)low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Akira Schmid
3rd 14:54Logan Mailloux (2–4)low · wrist · 41 ft · beat Akira Schmid
3rd 18:07Logan Mailloux (2–5)empty net · low · wrist · 171 ft · beat Akira Schmid