Hartford Wolf Pack at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse · Cleveland, OH

Hartford Wolf Pack

4:2

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HFDCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

71%29%

xG: 3.62.5
High danger: 73
Chances: 137
Shots: 3025

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal25

13Scoring chances7

7High-danger chances3

3.62Expected goals2.45

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–5	2–0	0–0	0.5–0.3
2nd	13–7	5–2	3–1	1.9–0.7
3rd	10–13	6–5	4–2	1.2–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jet Greaves

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 26
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.62
GSAx: +0.62

Dylan Garand

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.45
GSAx: +0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 10:01Penalty
1st 13:01Penalty
1st 13:01Penalty
1st 13:19Penalty
1st 17:27Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 2:25Penalty
2nd 2:43Penalty
2nd 5:26Anton Blidh (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Jet Greaves
2nd 6:17Penalty
2nd 9:44Brendan Gaunce (1–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Dylan Garand
2nd 12:31Penalty
2nd 12:44Adam Sýkora (2–1)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 5:16Penalty
3rd 6:08Carson Meyer (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Dylan Garand
3rd 6:54Penalty
3rd 9:36Penalty
3rd 9:45Penalty
3rd 13:44Penalty
3rd 13:44Penalty
3rd 14:26Brett Berard (3–2)5v4 · high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jet Greaves
3rd 19:23Brett Berard (4–2)empty net · low · 116 ft