AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 26

Bridgeport Islanders at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Bridgeport Islanders
3:6
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

BRIPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
3.13.9
High danger
37
Chances
1317
Shots
3534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal34
13Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances7
3.14Expected goals3.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–105–50–21.0–1.1
2nd12–114–62–31.2–1.3
3rd11–134–61–20.9–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.012 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Bussi
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.14
GSAx
+0.14
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
34
Saves
28
Allowed
6
xGA
3.89
GSAx
-2.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:54John Farinacci (0–1)low · 33 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 7:21Penalty
  • 1st 11:03Frederic Brunet (0–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 19:47Penalty
  • 2nd 1:19Anthony Richard (0–3)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 5:55Justin Brazeau (0–4)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 9:09Michael Callahan (0–5)medium · 27 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 10:55Penalty
  • 2nd 13:43Penalty
  • 2nd 13:43Penalty
  • 2nd 13:43Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 18:21Eetu Liukas (1–5)medium · 32 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 2nd 19:35Penalty
  • 2nd 19:35Penalty
  • 2nd 19:35Penalty
  • 3rd 0:59Matthew Maggio (2–5)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26Penalty
  • 3rd 3:26John Farinacci (2–6)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 18 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 4:43Penalty
  • 3rd 5:48Penalty
  • 3rd 13:53Cole Bardreau (3–6)low · 54 ft · beat Brandon Bussi
  • 3rd 14:14Penalty
  • 3rd 14:37Penalty
  • 3rd 14:59Penalty