AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 27

Belleville Senators at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Belleville Senators
4:6
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

BELGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.13.7
High danger
47
Chances
413
Shots
2635

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal35
4Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances7
2.10Expected goals3.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–91–21–10.7–0.7
2nd7–162–62–30.6–1.6
3rd11–101–51–30.7–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kevin Mandolese
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.16
GSAx
-0.84
Michael Hutchinson
Shots faced
15
Saves
11
Allowed
4
xGA
1.35
GSAx
-2.65
Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
12
Saves
10
Allowed
2
xGA
1.28
GSAx
-0.72
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
11
Saves
11
Allowed
0
xGA
0.75
GSAx
+0.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:32Penalty
  • 1st 4:32William Wallinder (0–1)low · slap · 33 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 12:19Penalty
  • 1st 13:51Penalty
  • 1st 14:19Albert Johansson (0–2)low · backhand · 26 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 17:07Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 2:57Tyler Spezia (0–3)low · snap · 42 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 2nd 4:49Penalty
  • 2nd 7:41Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Angus Crookshank (1–3)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 2nd 10:41Josh Currie (2–3)high · 5 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 2nd 15:19Penalty
  • 2nd 15:19Penalty
  • 2nd 17:25Matthew Highmore (3–3)low · 27 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 2nd 19:28Angus Crookshank (4–3)low · slap · 49 ft · beat Michael Hutchinson
  • 3rd 5:02Penalty
  • 3rd 5:30Austin Czarnik (4–4)5v4 · low · 49 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 8:22Elmer Söderblom (4–5)medium · rebound · 32 ft · beat Kevin Mandolese
  • 3rd 9:33Penalty
  • 3rd 9:33Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Penalty
  • 3rd 19:00Jonatan Berggren (4–6)empty net · high · 8 ft