AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 27

Toronto Marlies at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Toronto Marlies
4:3
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

TORLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.93.1
High danger
35
Chances
99
Shots
3033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal33
9Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances5
2.94Expected goals3.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–85–32–11.5–0.7
2nd11–112–31–21.0–1.0
3rd6–112–20–10.4–1.0
OT1–30–10–10.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Keith Petruzzelli
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
3.14
GSAx
+0.14
Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.94
GSAx
-0.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:13Kieffer Bellows (1–0)low · 32 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 1st 6:16Penalty
  • 1st 14:02Penalty
  • 1st 18:15Bobby Brink (1–1)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 2nd 0:40Penalty
  • 2nd 7:16Robert Mastrosimone (2–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 19 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 7:27Penalty
  • 2nd 11:33Penalty
  • 2nd 11:39Kyle Clifford (3–1)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 4:14Penalty
  • 3rd 5:46Penalty
  • 3rd 5:59Bobby Brink (3–2)5v4 · grade A · 22 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 3rd 7:40Wade Allison (3–3)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Keith Petruzzelli
  • 3rd 8:20Penalty
  • 3rd 8:20Penalty
  • 3rd 8:20Penalty
  • 3rd 14:55Penalty